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Benefits and Costs of the Iraq Invasion


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Dr. Martin Schonfeld¡]Philosophy/Environmental Policy University of South Florida, Tampa, USA¡^

Iraq sits on a lake of oil covered by a thin layer of soft sand. The deposits-the second largest in the world-are easy to access; drilling Iraq's oil is cheap. The United States is the world's largest oil consumer; the American people, 4.5% of the world population, use 30% of the world's fossil fuels. The U.S. government breaks international law in attacking Iraq. Michael Kinsley asked in the Washington Post (10 March 2003, A 21): "How has an attack on the U.S. by a terrorist group in Afghanistan led us to war against Iraq? Why are nuclear weapons in Iraq worth a war but not nuclear weapons in North Korea?"

The U.S. administration claimed that Iraq must be invaded because it builds atom bombs. But UN inspectors did not find nuclear factories. Then the U.S. administration claimed that Iraq must be invaded because it has biological and chemical weapons. But UN officials say that Iraq is disarming. Next the U.S. administration claimed that Iraq must be invaded because it supports Al Qaeda. But the reports did not convince the UN Security Council. Finally, the U.S. administration claimed that Iraq must be invaded because it deserves democracy. This is certainly a noble goal, and it requires examination.

Perhaps America truly wants to sacrifice its soldiers for a democratic Iraq, but it is strange to compare this with its actions in the Middle East. In 1991, the U.S. sabotaged the democratic uprisings of Shi'ites and Kurds in Iraq. In 2001, the U.S. withdrew from the UN Conference Against Racism when Israel was criticized for undemocratic policies. In 2002, the U.S. increased its financial and technical support for the military occupation of Palestine. To date-March 2003-the U.S. does not promote the exiled Iraqi dissidents, although they would be the obvious choice for executive positions in a democratic Iraq. Instead, press releases tell us that a military government will be installed in Iraq, probably run by U.S. Army Lieutenant General John Abizaid.

This becomes all the more serious in light of the background of the U.S. administration. The U.S. president was chosen, not elected. Not the number of voters, but the decision of the Supreme Court put him into power. It is not a secret that President Bush has ties to the oil industry. He is not the only one. Others are Vice-President Cheney, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld, Afghanistan Special Envoy Khalilzad, Trade Representative Zoellick, and National Security & Foreign Policy Advisor Rice.

The details of their connections are not a secret either. President Bush founded the oil company Arbusto in 1978; the oil company Harken Energy bought Arbusto in 1986; Bush owned stock in Harken and worked as a company consultant. Vice-President Cheney was CEO of the oil-field equipment firm Halliburton until 2000. Defense Secretary Rumsfeld was associated with the policy group Project for the New American Century-as were Cheney, Wolfowitz, and Florida Governor and presidential brother Jeb Bush-which lobbied the Clinton government for an invasion of oil-rich Iraq already in 1998. U.S. Special Envoy Khalilzad, who controls the current Afghanistan government, worked as a consultant for the oil company Unocal until 1998. Then, he failed to persuade the Taliban to construct a natural gas pipeline through Afghanistan. Now, the pipeline is being built. U.S. Trade Representative Zoellick owned stock in the oil company Enron and worked as company consultant. Presidential Advisor Rice worked for the oil company Chevron. In honor of her work, Chevron named an oil supertanker "Condoleezza Rice".

There are democratic controls on what leaders can do. But with the 2000 non-election, these controls were weakened, and after the 2001 terrorist attack, they were weakened again. Christian faith is important to President Bush. But the U.S. constitution, as in any democracy, separates church and state. After the election, this separation was partly removed. U.S. Attorney General Ashcroft requires daily Christian prayers from his staff in the Department of Justice; Bible meetings are held in the White House; and Christian welfare organizations now receive federal money. I do not mind how Christian President Bush and his administrators are. But to do their jobs responsibly, their public roles must remain distinct from their private lives. Leaders of democracies use the language of reason for public policy and the language of faith and providence for their private lives. To do the reverse is the hallmark of dictatorship.

Other controls on leaders come through international agreements. But the Bush government rejected international agreements-famous are the withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol on Global Warming, the break of the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty, and the boycott of the International Criminal Court.

Democracies permit popular opposition to controversial policies, and the freedom of the people restricts the freedom of the leaders. But after 9-11, the Patriot Act legalized increased surveillance, secret trials, and arrests on the basis of secret evidence. (If you are imprisoned in America, you are not necessarily permitted to know why.) The freedom of the press eroded, too; on the 2002 Press Freedom Index (by Reporters Without Borders), journalistic freedom in the U.S. has slipped to place 17, below Latin American nations such as Costa Rica (place 15). News channels, such as Fox-TV, CNN, or MSNBC, do not challenge government policy.

A democracy is based on the division of powers. The branches of government are separate and mutually control each other. Because each branch controls the other, no single branch controls everything. The division of powers protects a country against dictatorship. But this works best with a lot of political parties-which the U.S. does not have. Whereas democracies in Asia and Europe have three, four, or even more political parties, America has only two parties. After the 2002 defeat of the Democratic Party in the state elections, the Republican Party controlled all branches of the government: the President is a Republican (executive control); the House and Senate have Republican majorities (legislative control), and the majority of the Supreme Court judges are Republicans (judicative control). The previous mutual control of executive, legislative, and judicative branches has changed into the uniform control of all branches by one party. Now the U.S. administration can do whatever it wants.

A month ago, at the University of South Florida, one of my colleagues and a graduate student were arrested. The police say they are terrorists. Both (Dr. Al-Arian and Mr. Hamoudeh) are Palestinians. There was no opposition among students and faculty.Considering these developments, the final U.S. reason for the invasion of Iraq, to spread democracy, is not very convincing.

Still, the White House uses an emphatically moral rhetoric: Saddam is evil; freedom is good; and we ought to destroy evil for the sake of the good. Is an invasion morally worth it?

By any standard, Saddam Hussein is evil. In Iraq, there is no freedom of press; there are dissidents in jail; in 1992 the army responded to protests by murdering entire village populations. Saddam's background is even worse. Before becoming dictator, he was a police officer specializing in "wet work." He performed interrogations that were "wet", leaving sweat, blood, vomit, excrement, and body parts of the accused behind-he was a torturer.

Most governments oppose Saddam. There is no split on the UN Security Council on this matter. The split on the UN Security Council is not over the end-the desirability of a democratic Iraq-but over the means to achieve it: sanctions and pressure, or invasion and war. Does the end justify the means? This depends on the balance of good and evil; that is, on how means compare to one another-whether they work, and what they ethically cost.

The sanctions only partially succeeded. The 12-year embargo contained Iraq, but it did not create democracy. Before the embargo, Iraq attacked its neighbors; afterwards, it did not. Hence the sanctions worked for the end of a neutralized threat. But they failed to work for the end of a democratic Iraq. The country was a dictatorship then, and it is a dictatorship now. But perhaps the embargo as such is not to blame-in 1991, the Iraqis did revolt, trusting in U.S. assurances of support. When the promised help was not forthcoming, the rebellion collapsed. The U.S. preferred a stable dictatorship to a volatile democracy. Blaming UN sanctions is unfair when U.S. strategy is to blame, but the damage has been done, and now war matters.

Wars have ethical costs. The share of innocent victims increased with each war in the past century. In World War I (1914-18), most of the casualties were soldiers; civilian casualties were less than one quarter. In World War II (1939-45), half of the victims were soldiers, half were civilians. In the Vietnam War (1964-75), one quarter were soldiers; three quarters were civilians. In the Gulf War (1990-91), 20% were soldiers; 80% were civilians. In the Gulf War, 206,000 Iraqis were killed (109,000 men, 23,000 women, and 74,000 children). According to the lowest estimates, an additional 100,000 people-people, not soldiers-died after the war of injuries and illness directly related to the battles and bombing. Although the U.S. government is proud of its precision bombs, it is naive to assume that civilians will be spared. They won't. They will die, as they always do in war.

Because most who suffer in an invasion are not the ones who deserve to suffer, invasions are generally wrong. But this must be qualified. You have the right to fight when attacked, and you have the duty to fight if you can help others who are attacked. In World War II, the Allied invasion of France was an appropriate reaction to the Nazi occupation. Likewise, the Gulf War 1991 was unproblematic. Iraq had first attacked Kuwait, and an international force responded by invading Iraq almost all the way to Baghdad. It was a fair reaction to an unfair attack. By contrast, an invasion now is an action, not a reaction; an attack, not a defense; a first strike, not a second; and first strikes are wrong.

The U.S. government objects-in Iraq, they say, the wrongs of a first strike are justified by the ethical benefits generated. Ethical Costs are damages and suffering; ethical benefits are freedom and comfort. Throw a stone into a pond-there is a splash, then rings of waves. Iraq is the pond; America is the stone; the invasion is the splash; and costs and benefits are the waves. To assess the U.S. objection requires comparing costs and benefits.

The first wave of costs affects the people in Iraq. An invasion is not a fight with Saddam, but with his armies. Battles with armies cause civilian casualties. So a bunch of people will die who don't deserve to die.

The next wave of costs affects the people in the Middle East. They are forced to watch foreigners to make decisions for them. Many people in the Middle East feel they are being colonized-again. This reminder of their weakness is humiliating and feeds rebellion. Al-Qaeda was born from Bin Laden's protest to the American military presence in Saudi Arabia. Bin Laden argued that Saudi Arabia is the seat of holy sites-Mecca and Medina-and non-Muslims, American soldiers, should leave, because they lack Islamic respect for the sites. When the Saudis refused, Bin Laden became a terrorist. It is reasonable to assume that more American military in the Middle East will cause more support for Bin Laden.

The final wave of costs is all of us. Terrorism is fueled by feelings of injustice. An invasion fuels the feelings of injustice in the Middle East, nourishing terrorism everywhere else. The produced fear is an ethical cost, causing worries and restrictions, and destroying comforts and freedoms. Moreover, the invasion of Iraq is a unilateral action challenging world order. International law forbids first strikes. To ignore international law without penalties weakens the rule of law and diminishes the stability of the Global Village.

Are there ethical benefits? An invasion will liberate the people in Iraq from a dictator and give them the chance for a hopefully freer and better life. Hence the people in Iraq will pay costs (certain deaths and destruction) but they may also gain benefits (probable freedom and well-being). I do not know whether the benefits outweigh the costs.

The people in the Middle East have no benefits. For them, the invasion of Iraq brings no perceivable advantage over the containment of Iraq. An invasion brings only foreseeable ethical costs to them: humiliation, anger, unrest, and possibly rebellion.

The people in the world will not be positively affected either. The invasion will shift the control of oil from Iraqi to American hands. The Global Village will continue to buy oil, only now it will make U.S. companies richer.

There is a final cost. The U.S. administration wants its citizens to use more oil, not less. In 2002, President Bush cut funding from mass transit and train systems, while creating funding (tax deductions) for the purchase of larger cars, trucks, and SUVs. He wants Americans to drive, and he has encouraged them to consume.

The world community will pay the environmental bill. Since the Intergovernmental Panel on Global Climate Control (IPGCC) reported its research in 2000, we know that the burning of fossil fuels causes global warming. From a U.S. business perspective, both the withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol and the Iraq invasion make sense. Other nations will pay, but U.S. business will earn.

There is a problem with the business calculation. The IPGCC concluded that global warming is shifting global rainfall patterns; it will be wetter in the equatorial belt and in the high north and south, and it will be drier in subtropical and temperate latitudes. Thus countries in such latitudes, such as Taiwan, need to prepare for water shortages. This will hurt agriculture, and elsewhere on the planet, this may trigger a new class of resource-driven conflicts-not over oil, but over water. We can expect the U.S. decisions to cause more violence, poverty, and pollution on the globe. Oil-thirsty, car-loving Americans will be rich, but it is difficult to see how they will enjoy their profits on a planet that resents them.

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